Jake's famous Chubasco Report

4 Aug 2026

Recommendation: N SOC, prepare for high winds. Entire SoC, potential for calm night if not in gap wind zone or making a crossing.

Chubascos:

— https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=mex&band=13&length=12&dim=1 is showing minimal convection at the Sonora/Sinaloa border. It’s already calming down, but keep an eye on it… it could always boot and rally. 

HRRR shows gusts of 40kts in the northern SoC at 0200, continuing to 0700. Everywhere else = gusts to the low teens.  This is a large area but is from the top of Isla Ángel de la Guarda to Peñasco. ECMWF shows sustained winds in the low teens and gusts of mid 20’s all night, with a jump up to 30kts around 0100 in the middle of the sea, and then calming. NAM & GFS don’t show anything worth mentioning. 

Keep an eye out tonight! Because the reports have been so mismatched lately, play it safe and sleep well if you can!

Tropical Storms:

• Nothing substantial to report

Sources:

Chubascos: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=mex&band=13&length=12&dim=1

Tropical storms: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

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